In last month's post on Practice 2.2, we talked primarily about the risk side of the balancing act a fiduciary must perform in meeting the investment time horizon objectives set in Practice 2.1. Practice 2.3 then focuses on the return side of the equation. It focuses on modeling a portfolio that is tied to cash requirements and is based on reasonable assumptions.
Let's take a look at the Practice itself and the associated criteria:
We say that the modeled level of return needs to be both optimal and realistic. "Optimal" means that the selected profile can be found on the efficient frontier at a point that is expected to allow the investor to meet his or her objectives without taking on unacceptable risk. "Realistic" means that there is a fiduciary obligation to use reasonable assumptions and reliable tools to estimate the return. Projecting returns that are unlikely to be achievable or unfairly skew to favor types of investments that an advisor or manager would benefit from at the expense of the investor would be considered fiduciary breeches.
That said, there is no fiduciary requirement or expectation that the advisor be capable of forecasting future returns. Rather, fiduciaries are required to demonstrate that a prudent process was followed in developing the assumptions used to model the probable outcomes of a range of investment strategies. Equipped with a modeled return, a fiduciary can conduct discounted cash flow models to determine if the return will be sufficient to meet the portfolio goals and objectives.
To learn more, consult the following resources:
- Complete text of Practice 2.3 from the Prudent Practices for Investment Stewards handbook
- Legal substantiation to Practice 2.3 from ERISA, UPIA, UPMIFA and MPERS
- fi360's Asset Allocation Optimizer, which can calculate the risk, return, and large loss scenarios of a client’s portfolio utilizing the Resampled Efficiency™ portfolio optimization technique
- Research from New Frontier Advisors, the developers of Resampled Efficiency™
- Harry Markowtiz's landmark work on modern portfolio theory: Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments
* * * * *
The Spotlight on Practices series highlights one of the Prudent Practices for Investment Fiduciaries in order each month. To learn more about the Practices, click "Spotlight on Practices" link in the categories list or visit the Practices page on fi360.com. If you have any questions or comments, leave them in the comments section below each post, or email us at blog@fi360.com.
Recent Comments